Thursday, January 11, 2018

My visit to a Rohingya refugee camp: still no prospects for Rohingyas in Myanmar?



This is an archival post and translation of my 2013 account of visit to a Rohingya refugee camp located in the vicinity of Delhi. While many of the numerical facts remain unchanged, unfortunately the reality is that the overall situation of surrounding the Rohingyas is even grimmer than it was in 2013.


Some time ago I learned about Iranian filmmakers who wanted to shoot a documentary movie about numerous Rohingya refugees from Burma, residing in and in the vicinity of Delhi. I managed to contact them and that’s how our cooperation started, giving rise to my passion for humanitarian affairs. These visits to the refugee camp, or more precisely, refugee village, gave me a lot of food for thought and provided me with a different angle to examine one of the world’s still unresolved problems—statelessness. I have decided to share some of my feelings on the visit to the refugee camp in the context of international law and identity issues in order to bring to light what still remains as a largely unknown problem to the eyes of the world.




The first part of the text is devoted to providing basic facts about the Rohingya people and explaining some legal intricacies of the term “refugee”, while the second is my account of life in a refugee camp located in near India’s capital.

The movie I had a pleasure of starring in tells a story of Rohingya refugees who as a result of their uniqueness were forced by the persecution to flee Burma. They were not only banished, but deprived of all their worldly possessions, the right to lead life free from fear and in some instances even of that most valuable of them all—life itself.


Refugee, a legal definition

Referring to the international agreements and resolutions of international organizations, such as the Geneva Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees of 1951[1], a refugee can in simple terms be defined as a person forced to flee from the country of his/her permanent residence out of fear of harassment or loss of life.

The Rohingyas

The Rohingyas are an Indo-European ethnic group actually numbering close to 1.5 million people.  As a result of decades of atrocities committed against them in Burma most of them were violently and mercilessly forced out of Burma’s Rakhine province, which was their home for centuries (in the distant past existing for some time in the independent form of Arakan). In stark contrast with the country’s Buddhist majority population the Rohingyas are mostly practitioners of Islam, have their own distinctive culture and use their own language. Since times unmemorable they were often commonly accused of serving as the “fifth column” of Bangladesh and despite the long history of their residence in Burma often contemptuously termed Bangladeshis.


Rohingyas were traditionally subjected to a variety of special duties, which the rest of Burma’s general populace didn’t have to go through. One of them included routine check-ups of Rohingyas during which whole families were subjected to often humiliating questioning and photographs of all family members were taken. If any of the family members was absent the rest had to undergo severe punishment (often including deportation). This man's family was forced to flee Myanmar after he couldn’t attend such “census” due to his participation in the haj pilgrimage.

The advent of the 20th century only exacerbated existing tensions as the World War II period witnessed many Rohingya pogroms in Burma. After the military putsch of 1962 in the country, the Rohingyas faced ever intensified discrimination which forced them en masse to flee to Pakistan and Bangladesh. No substantial changes in Rohingya’s legal status took place in Burma during the military rule period.

The present state of affairs prevailing in Burma’s Rakhine province is best characterized by one word: anarchy. Since the country’s gradual opening began in 2011 Burma has witnessed periods of ethnic clashes often described as ethnic cleansing, the flames of which also engulfed the province of Rakhine. As is the case with many other communalist conflicts the world over, civilians bear the main brunt of destruction unleashed by the government security forces in response to attacks of local armed groups. Close to 100,000 Rohingyas became Internally Displaced Persons, known as internal refugees and mostly dwell in temporary camps.  Many of them end up perishing from disease since the Burmese government creates many hurdles for humanitarian organizations willing to extend them so much needed help.

The position of the Rohingya refugees is perilous as many of them don’t possess any proof of their identity and documents issued to them by the Burmese authorities in the past blatantly name them  Bangladeshi citizens, which gives them no chance of return after voluntarily leaving or being forcibly expelled from the country. While the act of forcing them out in the eyes of the government amounts to nothing different from merely expelling “foreigners”. This makes for a serious violation of international agreements, for instance the 1954 Convention Relating to the Status of Stateless Persons and the 1961 Convention on the Reduction of Statelessness[2]. The only problem is that Burma hasn’t become a side to these agreements and is therefore not formally bound to respect them. As a result, Rohingyas are effectively not only homeless, but also stateless.

The UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) Office in cooperation with the UN member states issue so called Identity Cards[3] for the refugees, which are often the only proof of their identity. The main disadvantage in this document lies in the fact that it is not widely respected by all the countries and even in the ones that honor it, it doesn’t award their holders with any necessary to survive rights, such as the right to being legally employed.


In the camp of the Rohingyas

The refugee camp which I managed to see was located in a small village called Ferozepur Namak located some 150 kilometers from India’s Delhi. It is one of 2 camps located near the country’s capital. Remaining Rohingya camps in India are mostly located in the state of Jammu and Kashmir.
Quite naturally, my first visit filled me with the utmost excitement. Not surprisingly, newcomers were treated by the camp’s inhabitants as a novelty. After traditional greetings, equally traditional questions followed “where are you from”? I am from Poland I replied—it didn’t ring a bell with any of the people gathered there. Notwithstanding that, after the few hours spent in the camp many young people desperately wanted to know how much it would cost to get a fake passport allowing them to enter this country, which was totally unknown to them. This portrays well the level of desperation of people who would even try their luck in a place totally foreign to them in a frantic search to improve their present meager existence.
For many refugees the Identity Cards issued by the UNHCR are the only proofs of their identities.

Everyday life in a refugee camp

The camp which I had a chance to visit was organized by the refugees on their own on a plot of land belonging to a local farmer. As one of the camps inhabitants related they have been informed by the government that they can reside in the country, however they shouldn’t expect any additional assistance from any of the governmental agencies.

Most of the days look alike here. Camp inhabitants don’t really have much to do, however the very fact that they made it safely out of the furnace of civil strife in Burma is a lot in itself. Naturally social roles in the camp were clearly defined and based on the age and sex:

  • Children spend most of their time in a local madrasa (Muslim school) organized in one of the barracks. They are not allowed to attend public Indian schools as they have no documents proving their identity and cannot afford to send their children to a private school. Many of them are yet too young to understand all the injustices which their families suffered, but their youthful eyes are still gleaming with innocence and childish hope.
  • Men—some of them do menial tasks working on the neighboring farms, of course illegally and for the money that can’t satisfy even the most basic needs.
  • Women are responsible for taking care of homes (it would be rather fitting to say shacks in this context) and often rearing numerous offspring.

Some among the camps inhabitants receive financial support from their families living and working in Bangladesh, while the rest have no steady source of income and own close to nothing except for a few things taken hastily from their homes the very last moment before fleeing the country. The overall level of education in the camp is very low and out of some few hundred people residing there, only very few are fully literate. As a result, many of the children have all the prospects of remaining illiterate for the remainder of their lives. People living here are also cut off from medical services and in case of emergency they need each time to find a doctor or rather, a quack, that is if they are lucky enough. Their life is more hopeless than that of Orwellian character. The world has easily come to terms with their plight, aren’t there already millions of poor and destitute people in the world after all?

People living here have often witnessed scenes of bestiality beyond description

Many children witnessed their parent’s death, while in some of the other families all of their female members were raped. One of the most important parts of the movie I took part in, was a trial of the children on the camps inhabitants. Using their childish common sense, not yet tainted by the vices of the grown-ups they were about to decide the future of camps inhabitants after carefully listening to their life stories. As in a real courtroom, children acted as judges, public prosecutors and lawyers. How much have these people suffered is amply illustrated by a 10-year-old boy. He and his mother were asked to testify in front of the “court”. The boy claimed that his father remains trapped in Burma, but remains in touch with his estranged family, however when it was his mother’s turn to give her “court” testimony he began to shout at her “go home woman, I forbid you to reveal our story”. As it happens boy’s father was long dead and he in accordance with Freudian defense mechanism wanted to convince himself that it was otherwise. 


A shop located in the heart of the camp testifies to capitalism taking firm roots even among the poor and destitute…
Some of the people possess only Myanmar issued documents declaring them citizens of Bangladesh   (sic!)

Makeshift mosque; religion is often one of the very few remnants of peoples’ former life.

All the buildings have temporary character and privacy is not in evidence.


In theory Rohingyas remain under the umbrella of various NGOs, however their help alone can’t solve many of the systematic issues, such as lack of education or employment.

Looking at the issue, it’s difficult to put the blame for refugees squalid living conditions solely on the shoulders of the Indian government when keeping in mind that the country has its indigenous population of hundreds of millions of destitute people, but the life of Rohingyas shows how different from lofty sounding international agreements their conditions are.

Another international problem without a clear solution in sight?

Unfortunately, life itself has written the last chapter of this coverage. Because of indiscriminate violence most of Rohingya people now remain displaced out of Burma. Most of those who managed to save their life now dwell in neighboring Bangladesh, which is itself one of the world’s poorest countries and conditions of people populating the refugee camps can in the lightest of terms be described as appalling. The Burmese government staunchly denies claims of the violence committed against the Rohingya minority, claiming that Rohingyas (whose number in Burma is now close to 625,000 in 2017[4]) left the country as a result of inter-communal clashes and terrorism. Aung San Su Kyi who in 2013 seemed to be the apostle of changes in the country has largely avoided raising the issue of Rohingyas and both the governmental and international commissions working on the Rohingya issue didn’t come to any substantial conclusions.

With tense refugee situation in other parts of the world, Rohingya’s prospects of getting asylum in other countries are even grimmer than before. Luckily, among this unspeakable outpouring of human suffering and grief there exist groups like Khalsa Aid International, which strive to ease the burden of pain and wash off the stains of the blood by helping displaced. However, as the international community appeals to Myanmar to readmit the Rohingyas, one question remains unanswered, how will their future be safeguarded from shameful atrocities?


More on the issue:






[1] http://www.ohchr.org/EN/ProfessionalInterest/Pages/StatusOfRefugees.aspx
[2] http://www.unhcr.org/un-conventions-on-statelessness.html
[3] http://www.unhcr.org/excom/scip/3ae68cce4/identity-documents-refugees.html
[4] https://www.reuters.com/article/us-myanmar-rohingya-widows/rohingya-widows-find-safe-haven-in-bangladesh-camp-idUSKBN1E136I

Tuesday, January 9, 2018

Analysis of Indian smartphone market from the point of view of Chinese smartphone manufacturers.

  I am glad to publish my first "analysis of Indian smartphone market from the point of view of Chinese smartphone manufacturers: examining present condition and future prospects". It is written in Mandarin Chinese, but should the need arise I am ready to translate my work into English. 

   It is not common practice to dedicate works of non-fiction and especially economic analyses to potential readers, but I want to dedicate this short piece to all the people who incessantly struggle to improve their lifes despite all the contradictions and personal hardships. Change for the better is always within your arms reach.

中国智能手机制造企业在印度市场的状况

1.印度智能手机的现状


  2013 年到现在中国手机制造公司在印度市场发展的速度相当快。 2013年他们的总      市场份额不超过10% 2017年的第三季度小米在印度市场的份额大是23.5%,跟三星      一起,成为印度市场最大的手机公司。同时,所有中国手机的市场份额占印度手机市场份额的51%[1]
  现在印度在经历智能手机革命。智能手机的使用数量从2015年的两亿部增长到2017年的三亿部。考虑到中国智能手机市场已经饱和,这为中国企业在印度投资创造了更多的激励机制。


2.中国手机在印度市场快速发展的要素和理论分析:


·         中国手机的性价比很高。近几年中国手机的价格明显提高了,此外他们手机的价格覆盖了市场的不同部分,比如说魅族2500元的手机的功能跟三星7千元的手机一样。

·         印度移动互联网价格降低(2016年移动数据价格比前一年下降了96[3]),                         这个变化让更多的客户开始使用智能手机。

·         中国手机在中国市场已经成功了,所以他们已经得到了技术知识和丰富的投资,   相反,印度手机制造商缺乏这两个因素, 另外根据国际排名做生意,中国的经济环境比印度对商业更有帮助。

·         10年之前中国手机市场的情况跟现在的印度一样,所以中国手机制造者了解 印度消费者的需求,在印度市场也可以使用他们在中国用过的经济模式。

·         印度国内生产总值发展速度稳定,所以更多印度人有购买智能手机的机会。
                                                        
·         由于稳定的发展,智能手机跟电脑的功能一样,但是智能手机的价格比电脑低得多。2016年全球移动互联网使用量超过计算机互联网使用量[4] ;此外,大部分印度人住在农村(70%的人[5]),印度的农村除了移动网络以外没有其他网络可以使用。



 [6]

      
                           中国手机在印度市场情况的SWOT 分析:

       S (优势)

         许多中国公司(如华为)的专业化程度很高,除了制造手机外,他们还生产平板   电脑和IT系统等。即使手机部门放缓,他们也有其他的机会。

         中国的制造成本仍然低于西方,这使得中国企业比西方竞争对手更具优势。

         中国手机制造商可以满足印度社会各界的需求,因为他们的产品范围也各不相同,魅族、小米、联想生产相对便宜的手机,OPPOVIVO提供功能接近最先进的三星和苹果的模型 ,但价格要低得多。

         很明显,中国企业知道如何适应印度市场,OPPO已经成为印度板球队的官方赞      助商。

W (劣势)

         缺乏创新性(除了小米,大部分中国制造的智能手机都采用Android操作系统)。

         由于在中国无法使用某些网站,中国企业无法测试西方流行的许多平台。

O (机会)

         印度政府“在印度制造Make in India 的政策让中国公司降低生产他们产品的   成本。

         中国政府对高科技发展的重视使得中国产品的复杂程度在过去几年中将会提高。

         印度经济正在稳步发展,所以智能手机市场也有可能会增长

T (威胁)

         随着时间的推移印度公司将能够复制中国公司所使用的技术(技术传播)。

         因为印度文化和当地的习惯很特别,所以中国公司很难理解印度消费者的需求。

         随着印度的发展,很明显,更多的印度生产商将进入市场,这可能会增加竞争。

         中国制造业成本上升将使中国企业失去部分价格优势。

印度手机市场的PEST 分析


Political/政治

ü  一般来说印度和中国政治方面存在不少的争议,但是经济方面的关系密切, 2016年总交易价值达到700亿美元。

ü  金砖四国的贸易关系越来越密切。

ü  中国和印度都高度重视经济发展,中国要强调以技术为导向的增长,而印度把重点放在以劳动为导向的增长上。

ü  印度是南亚最大的国家和主要潮流,在印度市场的成功可以为中国企业带来在       尼泊尔,巴基斯坦和孟加拉国成功的机会。

Economic/经济

ü  印度经济的发展比较快 (2016年是大概7%[7])。

ü  印度和中国之间的贸易总额达700亿美元,同时印度在贸易方面的贸易赤字接近450亿美元[8]

Social/社会

ü   因为历史的原因,印度社会有一部分人对中国和中国公司有比较消极的态度,          到现在他们对印度政府的政策影响不太大[9]
ü  人际接触的方面下中国和印度之间的交流相比数量还是很少(比如说学生交流),结果国家之间的相互理解程度低[10]

Technological/技术

ü  一般来说中国公司的技术水平比印度公司高得多, 现在几乎没有在全球购买他们      商品的印度智能手机公司。
ü  除了制造智能手机公司以外中国新技术发展速度也相当快。
ü  智能手机革命在印度正在兴起,但是在中国已经发展了一段时间

波特的钻石模型



1.     要素条件:

熟练的资源和技术基础


  • 按照世界大学学术排名[11]在世界100所最好的理工大学之中有16所是亚洲国家的大学  (中国7所,日本6所,新加坡2所,韩国1所)。

  •  超级计算机数量[12] 中国 202, 美国 143, 日本 35, 印度 4

  •  研究人员在每百万人口中的数量[13](按照世界银行2016年的分析)                                          韩国 7  ,日本   5.2 千, 中国  1.2千, 印度  216

  • 专利申请数量(按照世界知识产权组织2015的数据[14]占总申请) 中国40%,美国20%,日本11%,韩国7%, 欧盟6%

根据以上数据中国连续40多年快速增长给中国高级企业造成相当好的发展的情况,          由此可见,现在中国是世界上最有科学潜力的国家。这种情况给进入印度市场的中国企业一些竞争的优势。

·         中国市场最大的劣势是智能手机的成本低,已经有很多国内智能手机的制造者(3C商务的平台中,京东jingdong.com, 至少有25家国内智能手机的制造者)[15],结果智能手机的价格比大部分西方的手机低。

2.     需求条件 :

·        现在中国是全世界最大的智能手机市场(大概14亿的手机[16])。

·         因为中国市场的规模很大,有许多外国和国内公司的竞争,                                                       这个对商品复杂性有好的影响,中国智能手机市场的初始条件跟  现代印度市场的情况很像,所以中国的公司在印度市场有竞争优势。

3.     产业群(相关与支持性产业):

·         近几年中国新技术和智能手机公司的发展速度一样快,比如说微信,淘宝,    京东,优酷;  印度在很大程度上依赖于YoutubeTwitterGoogleWhatsapp            外国服务,因此一些本地公司的发展不尽如人意。从长远来看,印度比中国更依赖外国技术。

·         虽然在现代的情况下,大部分中国新技术公司的发展仅限于东亚,但是中国不少的智能手机,比如说:华为,小米,联想已经获得了在海外市场的占有率。


4.     企业的战略,结构和竞争:

·        中国企业文化分级严重[17] 此外在中国的情况下民营企业和国有企业的关系比较亲密, 中国政府控制的公司也参与了研究新技术的人脸识别系统,后来可以被私人公司使用;在推广方面[18]大多数中国企业依靠广告和现场店铺,尽管小米这样的一些企业避而不谈,甚至在中国的销售大幅下滑的时候,也开始打破现有店铺打破旧有战略的店铺; 由于印度农村的许多人无法上网,因此开设现场店铺的策略也可以在这个市场上运作。

·         中国手机市场竞争激烈,这可能会迫使市场整合并进一步提高效率,这将进一步增加中国智能手机在国外的吸引力[19]

  
 [20]

3.结论 /未来发展的前途


反对刻板印象。印度经常用英语的人只有大概2亿(大概15%印度社会的人, 所以未来中国的公司必须更好的了解印度各种语言用户的需要。




印度经济和印度中产阶级的稳定增长率使得印度成为全球投资最有希望的市场之一。
中国智能手机制造企业最大促进自己产品的机会 (除了手机的功能和价格以外) 位于他们和中国高技术企业 比如说腾讯的合作,所以在印度的市场也可以提供特殊的功能,包括电子支付。

印度政府“在印度制造 (Make in India) 的政策可以为中国公司提供优惠的制造环境。因为    印度需要发展本地的制造业和提高本地企业的知识,同时中国的企业需要获得新的市场和降低生产成本。这个是双赢的情况。未来两个国家更好经济方面的关系能让他们享受更好政治方面的关系。

现在无法预计未来中国智能手机在印度市场的份额是否会进一步增加,但是由于智能手机需求在印度市场稳定的增加,中国在印度销售的智能手机的数量很可能会增加。[22]



4.资料:

BBC:

CNBC:

THE HINDU:

CNN:

THE ECONOMIST:

LIVE MINT:

STATISTA:

THE WORLD BANK:

WIPO:





[1] http://money.cnn.com/2017/09/26/technology/india-mobile-congress-market-numbers/index.html
[2] https://www.statista.com/statistics/269487/top-5-india-smartphone-vendors/
[3] http://money.cnn.com/2017/09/26/technology/india-mobile-congress-market-numbers/index.html
[4] http://gs.statcounter.com/platform-market-share/desktop-mobile-tablet
[5] http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-41264072
[7] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG
[8] http://www.livemint.com/Politics/Ag4wktkZODwjHtESc1l7WO/Indias-trade-deficit-with-China-mounts-to-4656-billion.html
[9] https://www.economist.com/blogs/economist-explains/2016/10/economist-explains-18
[10] https://www.statista.com/statistics/430717/china-foreign-students-by-country-of-origin/       
[11] http://www.shanghairanking.com/FieldSCI2016.html
[12] https://www.geek.com/tech/china-top-us-in-global-supercomputing-power-1722698/
[13] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.SCIE.RD.P6
[14] http://www.wipo.int/publications/en/details.jsp?id=4157&plang=EN
[15] https://search.jd.com/Search?keyword=%E6%99%BA%E8%83%BD%E6%89%8B%E6%9C%BA&enc=utf-8&wq=zhinengshouji&pvid=aa51ae31443246f88ffa943f5882814f
[16] https://www.statista.com/statistics/278204/china-mobile-users-by-month/
[17] http://quarterly.insigniam.com/corporate-culture/tapping-chinas-talent-pool-importance-corporate-culture/
[18] https://qz.com/758955/xiaomis-once-admired-strategy-for-winning-chinas-smartphone-market-has-backfired/